Election Morning Thoughts about the vote totals, in relation to the out come of the 2020 Presidential Race

Many people feel like they are on a roller coaster erected at a county fair. Will it hold up? Will the election system deliver America actual freedom? We would only need to cast 42.9 million more votes to equal the totals of 2016. That would be less than half as many as were cast in 2016: 79-plus million. Due to the pandemic, it’s overall good if those who need to, want to, or see it as sensible in any way, have cast their ballots already. That relieves the lines, potentially, for socially-distanced, hygienic voting. But I think those conditions will have to be maintained in numbers, likely somewhere beneath the total of in-person election day voters in 2016. I eyeball it and would think Biden wins about 50 to 55 million of those early votes. A remainder of 38.6 to 43 for the Republicans sounds about right. They are just so much more likely to be today’s in-person voters. I can foresee thirty million of them turning up, easily, today. But if I’m wrong about the percentage on early votes, it’s because Biden has more like 60 or so million of these early votes, which sounds probable. So, 33 million for Trump in early votes, and at least thirty million, today, is 63 million. That’s equal to his total, last time. We may go by electoral votes, but there is an underlying story in the popular vote, which polling shows has shifted, I would estimate, an average between seven to ten points between every state. That includes reliably Republican states, too, like Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri, where Trump seems to be consistently underperforming. They are polls, and today, the polls that matter are the ones where Americans can go vote. https://youtu.be/unzanfmesYs Distantly Social #5